Falcons @ Jets
Falcons
JetsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Falcons beat the Jets 13-8 on the road. The market closed with Falcons at -130 on the moneyline and the total at 33. This was an NFL 2023 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Falcons betting trends · Jets betting trends · all NFL games
Falcons vs Jets betting splits
Where was the money on Falcons vs Jets?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons | 45% | 34% | -2 (-112) |
| Jets | 55% | 66% | +2 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 22% | 7% | O 33 (-110) |
| Under | 78% | 93% | U 33 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Falcons | 53% | 58% | -130 |
| Jets | 47% | 42% | +110 |
55% of spread tickets and 66% of spread money were on the Jets, so the average Jets bet was larger than the average Falcons bet.
78% of total tickets and 93% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
53% of moneyline tickets and 58% of moneyline money were on the Falcons, so the average Falcons bet was larger than the average Jets bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Falcons vs Jets?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jets) | +2 | +2 | 0 |
| Total | 33.5 | 33 | -0.5 |
The Falcons were -2 three hours before kickoff and closed -2: the spread has not moved.
The total was 33.5 three hours before kickoff and closed 33, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Falcons vs Jets line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked three hours before kickoff (Jets +2) even with 66% of the spread money on the Jets. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (33.5 to 33), the side holding 93% of the total money and 78% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.