Colts @ Titans
Colts
TitansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Titans 31-28 on the road. The market closed with Colts at -130 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Colts betting trends · Titans betting trends · all NFL games
Colts vs Titans betting splits
Where was the money on Colts vs Titans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colts | 32% | 18% | -1.5 (-110) |
| Titans | 68% | 82% | +1.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 37% | 59% | O 42.5 (-105) |
| Under | 63% | 41% | U 42.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Colts | 45% | 24% | -130 |
| Titans | 55% | 76% | +110 |
68% of spread tickets and 82% of spread money were on the Titans, so the average Titans bet was larger than the average Colts bet.
The under held 63% of total tickets but only 41% of the money; 59% of total money was on the over with 37% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
55% of moneyline tickets and 76% of moneyline money were on the Titans, so the average Titans bet was larger than the average Colts bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Colts vs Titans?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Titans) | +1 | +1.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 42.5 | 42.5 | 0 |
The Colts were -1 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Colts.
The total was 42.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Colts vs Titans line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Colts (Titans +1 to Titans +1.5) even though 82% of the spread money sits on the Titans; the Colts hold 18% of the money and 32% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (42.5) even with 59% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.