Browns @ Rams
Browns
RamsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Rams beat the Browns 36-19 at home. The market closed with Browns at +160 on the moneyline and the total at 39.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Rams betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Rams betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Rams?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 37% | 38% | +3.5 (-110) |
| Rams | 63% | 62% | -3.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 46% | 79% | O 39.5 (-110) |
| Under | 54% | 21% | U 39.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 20% | 55% | +160 |
| Rams | 80% | 45% | -190 |
63% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Rams, so the Rams drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
The under held 54% of total tickets but only 21% of the money; 79% of total money was on the over with 46% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
The Rams held 80% of moneyline tickets but only 45% of the money; 55% of moneyline money was on the Browns with 20% of tickets, so the average Browns bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Rams?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Rams) | -4 | -3.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 40.5 | 39.5 | -1 |
The Rams were -4 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Browns.
The total was 40.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 39.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Rams line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Browns (Rams -4 to Rams -3.5) even though 62% of the spread money sits on the Rams; the Browns hold 38% of the money and 37% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the under (40.5 to 39.5) even though 79% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 21% of the money and 54% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.