Bengals @ Jaguars
Bengals
JaguarsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bengals beat the Jaguars 34-31 on the road. The market closed with Bengals at +390 on the moneyline and the total at 41. This was an NFL 2023 week 13 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bengals betting trends · Jaguars betting trends · all NFL games
Bengals vs Jaguars betting splits
Where was the money on Bengals vs Jaguars?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bengals | 41% | 46% | +10 (-110) |
| Jaguars | 59% | 54% | -10 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 40% | 44% | O 41 (-110) |
| Under | 60% | 56% | U 41 (-107) | |
| Moneyline | Bengals | 8% | 23% | +390 |
| Jaguars | 92% | 77% | -520 |
59% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Jaguars, so the Jaguars drew more tickets than money and the average Bengals bet was larger.
60% of total tickets and 56% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
92% of moneyline tickets and 77% of moneyline money were on the Jaguars, so the Jaguars drew more tickets than money and the average Bengals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bengals vs Jaguars?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jaguars) | -10 | -10 | 0 |
| Total | 40 | 41 | +1 |
The Jaguars were -10 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -10: the spread has not moved.
The total was 40 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 41, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bengals vs Jaguars line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked twelve hours before kickoff (Jaguars -10) even with 54% of the spread money on the Jaguars. The total moved 1 point toward the over (40 to 41) even though 56% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 44% of the money and 40% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.