Texans @ Jets
Texans
JetsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Jets beat the Texans 30-6 at home. The market closed with Texans at -176 on the moneyline and the total at 33.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Jets betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Jets betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Jets?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 72% | 71% | -3.5 (-106) |
| Jets | 28% | 29% | +3.5 (-114) | |
| Total | Over | 18% | 8% | O 33.5 (-106) |
| Under | 82% | 92% | U 33.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 60% | 69% | -176 |
| Jets | 40% | 31% | +148 |
72% of spread tickets and 71% of spread money were on the Texans, so the Texans drew more tickets than money and the average Jets bet was larger.
82% of total tickets and 92% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
60% of moneyline tickets and 69% of moneyline money were on the Texans, so the average Texans bet was larger than the average Jets bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Jets?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jets) | +3.5 | +3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 33 | 33.5 | +0.5 |
The Texans were -3.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 33 seven hours before kickoff and closed 33.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Jets line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked seven hours before kickoff (Jets +3.5) even with 71% of the spread money on the Texans. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (33 to 33.5) even though 92% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 8% of the money and 18% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.