Colts @ Bengals
Colts
BengalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bengals beat the Colts 34-14 at home. The market closed with Colts at +136 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Colts betting trends · Bengals betting trends · all NFL games
Colts vs Bengals betting splits
Where was the money on Colts vs Bengals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colts | 45% | 45% | +3 (-109) |
| Bengals | 55% | 55% | -3 (-111) | |
| Total | Over | 75% | 61% | O 44.5 (-110) |
| Under | 25% | 39% | U 44.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Colts | 24% | 42% | +136 |
| Bengals | 76% | 58% | -154 |
55% of spread tickets and 55% of spread money were on the Bengals, with money and tickets in step.
75% of total tickets and 61% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
76% of moneyline tickets and 58% of moneyline money were on the Bengals, so the Bengals drew more tickets than money and the average Colts bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Colts vs Bengals?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bengals) | -1.5 | -3 | -1.5 |
| Total | 44 | 44.5 | +0.5 |
The Bengals were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3, a 1.5-point move toward the Bengals.
The total was 44 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Colts vs Bengals line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Bengals (Bengals -1.5 to Bengals -3), the side holding 55% of the spread money and 55% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (44 to 44.5), the side holding 61% of the total money and 75% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.