Panthers @ Saints
Panthers
SaintsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Saints beat the Panthers 28-6 at home. The market closed with Panthers at +215 on the moneyline and the total at 39. This was an NFL 2023 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Saints betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Saints betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Saints?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 65% | 88% | +5.5 (-112) |
| Saints | 35% | 12% | -5.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 59% | 63% | O 39 (-111) |
| Under | 41% | 37% | U 39 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Panthers | 18% | 87% | +215 |
| Saints | 82% | 13% | -265 |
65% of spread tickets and 88% of spread money were on the Panthers, so the average Panthers bet was larger than the average Saints bet.
59% of total tickets and 63% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
The Saints held 82% of moneyline tickets but only 13% of the money; 87% of moneyline money was on the Panthers with 18% of tickets, so the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Saints?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Saints) | -6 | -5.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 38.5 | 39 | +0.5 |
The Saints were -6 24 hours before kickoff and closed -5.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Panthers.
The total was 38.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 39, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Saints line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Panthers (Saints -6 to Saints -5.5), the side holding 88% of the spread money and 65% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (38.5 to 39), the side holding 63% of the total money and 59% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.