Vikings @ Raiders
Vikings
RaidersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Raiders 3-0 on the road. The market closed with Vikings at -152 on the moneyline and the total at 40.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Raiders betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Raiders betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Raiders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 46% | 38% | -3 (-111) |
| Raiders | 54% | 62% | +3 (-109) | |
| Total | Over | 38% | 17% | O 40.5 (-115) |
| Under | 62% | 83% | U 40.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 55% | 82% | -152 |
| Raiders | 45% | 18% | +128 |
54% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Raiders, so the average Raiders bet was larger than the average Vikings bet.
62% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
55% of moneyline tickets and 82% of moneyline money were on the Vikings, so the average Vikings bet was larger than the average Raiders bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Raiders?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Raiders) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 40.5 | 40.5 | 0 |
The Vikings were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 40.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 40.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Raiders line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Raiders +3) even with 62% of the spread money on the Raiders. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (40.5) even with 83% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.