Seahawks @ 49ers
Seahawks
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Seahawks 28-16 at home. The market closed with Seahawks at +675 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Seahawks betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Seahawks vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Seahawks vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Seahawks | 41% | 61% | +15 (-111) |
| 49ers | 59% | 39% | -15 (-109) | |
| Total | Over | 75% | 39% | O 44.5 (-110) |
| Under | 25% | 61% | U 44.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Seahawks | 5% | 75% | +675 |
| 49ers | 95% | 25% | -1050 |
The 49ers held 59% of spread tickets but only 39% of the money; 61% of spread money was on the Seahawks with 41% of tickets, so the average Seahawks bet was larger.
The over held 75% of total tickets but only 39% of the money; 61% of total money was on the under with 25% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
The 49ers held 95% of moneyline tickets but only 25% of the money; 75% of moneyline money was on the Seahawks with 5% of tickets, so the average Seahawks bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Seahawks vs 49ers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -13.5 | -15 | -1.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 44.5 | -2 |
The 49ers were -13.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -15, a 1.5-point move toward the 49ers.
The total was 46.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5, a 2-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Seahawks vs 49ers line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the 49ers (49ers -13.5 to 49ers -15) even though 61% of the spread money sits on the Seahawks; the 49ers hold 39% of the money and 59% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 2 points toward the under (46.5 to 44.5), the side holding 61% of the total money and 25% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.