Titans @ Dolphins
Titans
DolphinsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Titans beat the Dolphins 28-27 on the road. The market closed with Titans at +607 on the moneyline and the total at 45. This was an NFL 2023 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Dolphins betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Dolphins betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Dolphins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 24% | 31% | +13.5 (-110) |
| Dolphins | 76% | 69% | -13.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 57% | 24% | O 45 (-110) |
| Under | 43% | 76% | U 45 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 5% | 26% | +607 |
| Dolphins | 95% | 74% | -897 |
76% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money were on the Dolphins, so the Dolphins drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.
The over held 57% of total tickets but only 24% of the money; 76% of total money was on the under with 43% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
95% of moneyline tickets and 74% of moneyline money were on the Dolphins, so the Dolphins drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Dolphins?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Dolphins) | -13.5 | -13.5 | 0 |
| Total | 46 | 45 | -1 |
The Dolphins were -13.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -13.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 46 24 hours before kickoff and closed 45, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Dolphins line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Dolphins -13.5) even with 69% of the spread money on the Dolphins. The total moved 1 point toward the under (46 to 45), the side holding 76% of the total money and 43% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.