Packers @ Giants
Packers
GiantsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Giants beat the Packers 24-22 at home. The market closed with Packers at -252 on the moneyline and the total at 37.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 14 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Giants betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Giants betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Giants?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 56% | 50% | -5.5 (-110) |
| Giants | 44% | 50% | +5.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 46% | 25% | O 37.5 (-110) |
| Under | 54% | 75% | U 37.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 76% | 14% | -252 |
| Giants | 24% | 86% | +208 |
Spread money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 56% Packers, 44% Giants).
54% of total tickets and 75% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
The Packers held 76% of moneyline tickets but only 14% of the money; 86% of moneyline money was on the Giants with 24% of tickets, so the average Giants bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Giants?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Giants) | +6.5 | +5.5 | -1 |
| Total | 37 | 37.5 | +0.5 |
The Packers were -6.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -5.5, a 1-point move toward the Giants.
The total was 37 24 hours before kickoff and closed 37.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Giants line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Giants (Giants +6.5 to Giants +5.5); spread money is split evenly, so the move did not follow either side's money. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (37 to 37.5) even though 75% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 25% of the money and 46% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.