Chargers @ Raiders
Chargers
RaidersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Raiders beat the Chargers 63-21 at home. The market closed with Chargers at +130 on the moneyline and the total at 36.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Raiders betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Raiders betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Raiders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 43% | 26% | +3 (-115) |
| Raiders | 57% | 74% | -3 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 44% | 33% | O 36.5 (-106) |
| Under | 56% | 67% | U 36.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 23% | 21% | +130 |
| Raiders | 77% | 79% | -154 |
57% of spread tickets and 74% of spread money were on the Raiders, so the average Raiders bet was larger than the average Chargers bet.
56% of total tickets and 67% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
77% of moneyline tickets and 79% of moneyline money were on the Raiders, so the average Raiders bet was larger than the average Chargers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Raiders?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Raiders) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 34.5 | 36.5 | +2 |
The Raiders were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 34.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 36.5, a 2-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Raiders line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Raiders -3) even with 74% of the spread money on the Raiders. The total moved 2 points toward the over (34.5 to 36.5) even though 67% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 33% of the money and 44% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.