Broncos @ Lions
Broncos
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Broncos 42-17 at home. The market closed with Broncos at +202 on the moneyline and the total at 49. This was an NFL 2023 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Broncos betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Broncos vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Broncos vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Broncos | 46% | 22% | +5.5 (-110) |
| Lions | 54% | 78% | -5.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 74% | 70% | O 49 (-110) |
| Under | 26% | 30% | U 49 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Broncos | 24% | 65% | +202 |
| Lions | 76% | 35% | -250 |
54% of spread tickets and 78% of spread money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Broncos bet.
74% of total tickets and 70% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Lions held 76% of moneyline tickets but only 35% of the money; 65% of moneyline money was on the Broncos with 24% of tickets, so the average Broncos bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Broncos vs Lions?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -4.5 | -5.5 | -1 |
| Total | 48 | 49 | +1 |
The Lions were -4.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -5.5, a 1-point move toward the Lions.
The total was 48 24 hours before kickoff and closed 49, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Broncos vs Lions line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Lions (Lions -4.5 to Lions -5.5), the side holding 78% of the spread money and 54% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the over (48 to 49), the side holding 70% of the total money and 74% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.