Steelers @ Colts
Steelers
ColtsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Steelers 30-13 at home. The market closed with Steelers at +103 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Colts betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Colts betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Colts?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 46% | 63% | +1.5 (-105) |
| Colts | 54% | 37% | -1.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 51% | 49% | O 41.5 (-112) |
| Under | 49% | 51% | U 41.5 (-114) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 40% | 54% | +103 |
| Colts | 60% | 46% | -121 |
The Colts held 54% of spread tickets but only 37% of the money; 63% of spread money was on the Steelers with 46% of tickets, so the average Steelers bet was larger.
The over held 51% of total tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of total money was on the under with 49% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
The Colts held 60% of moneyline tickets but only 46% of the money; 54% of moneyline money was on the Steelers with 40% of tickets, so the average Steelers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Colts?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Colts) | -1.5 | -1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 42.5 | 41.5 | -1 |
The Colts were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 42.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 41.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Colts line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Colts -1.5) even with 63% of the spread money on the Steelers. The total moved 1 point toward the under (42.5 to 41.5), the side holding 51% of the total money and 49% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.