Vikings @ Bengals
Vikings
BengalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bengals beat the Vikings 27-24 at home. The market closed with Vikings at +137 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Bengals betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Bengals betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Bengals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 39% | 57% | +3 (-108) |
| Bengals | 61% | 43% | -3 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 39% | 38% | O 41.5 (-110) |
| Under | 61% | 62% | U 41.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 38% | 48% | +137 |
| Bengals | 62% | 52% | -163 |
The Bengals held 61% of spread tickets but only 43% of the money; 57% of spread money was on the Vikings with 39% of tickets, so the average Vikings bet was larger.
61% of total tickets and 62% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
62% of moneyline tickets and 52% of moneyline money were on the Bengals, so the Bengals drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Bengals?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bengals) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 40.5 | 41.5 | +1 |
The Bengals were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 40.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 41.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Bengals line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Bengals -3) even with 57% of the spread money on the Vikings. The total moved 1 point toward the over (40.5 to 41.5) even though 62% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 38% of the money and 39% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.