Falcons @ Panthers
Falcons
PanthersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Panthers beat the Falcons 9-7 at home. The market closed with Falcons at -150 on the moneyline and the total at 32.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Falcons betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games
Falcons vs Panthers betting splits
Where was the money on Falcons vs Panthers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons | 56% | 33% | -2.5 (-120) |
| Panthers | 44% | 67% | +2.5 (-102) | |
| Total | Over | 36% | 9% | O 32.5 (-110) |
| Under | 64% | 91% | U 32.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Falcons | 74% | 58% | -150 |
| Panthers | 26% | 42% | +125 |
The Falcons held 56% of spread tickets but only 33% of the money; 67% of spread money was on the Panthers with 44% of tickets, so the average Panthers bet was larger.
64% of total tickets and 91% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
74% of moneyline tickets and 58% of moneyline money were on the Falcons, so the Falcons drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Falcons vs Panthers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Panthers) | +3 | +2.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 33 | 32.5 | -0.5 |
The Falcons were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Panthers.
The total was 33 24 hours before kickoff and closed 32.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Falcons vs Panthers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Panthers (Panthers +3 to Panthers +2.5), the side holding 67% of the spread money and 44% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (33 to 32.5), the side holding 91% of the total money and 64% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.