Jets @ Dolphins
Jets
DolphinsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Dolphins beat the Jets 30-0 at home. The market closed with Jets at +280 on the moneyline and the total at 35.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · Dolphins betting trends · all NFL games
Jets vs Dolphins betting splits
Where was the money on Jets vs Dolphins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets | 51% | 70% | +7 (-110) |
| Dolphins | 49% | 30% | -7 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 47% | 24% | O 35.5 (-110) |
| Under | 53% | 76% | U 35.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Jets | 28% | 62% | +280 |
| Dolphins | 72% | 38% | -350 |
51% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Jets, so the average Jets bet was larger than the average Dolphins bet.
53% of total tickets and 76% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
The Dolphins held 72% of moneyline tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of moneyline money was on the Jets with 28% of tickets, so the average Jets bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jets vs Dolphins?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Dolphins) | -8.5 | -7 | +1.5 |
| Total | 36.5 | 35.5 | -1 |
The Dolphins were -8.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7, a 1.5-point move toward the Jets.
The total was 36.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 35.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jets vs Dolphins line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Jets (Dolphins -8.5 to Dolphins -7), the side holding 70% of the spread money and 51% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (36.5 to 35.5), the side holding 76% of the total money and 53% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.