Texans @ Titans
Texans
TitansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Titans 19-16 on the road. The market closed with Texans at +139 on the moneyline and the total at 38.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Titans betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Titans betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Titans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 26% | 43% | +3 (+100) |
| Titans | 74% | 57% | -3 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 54% | 40% | O 38.5 (-106) |
| Under | 46% | 60% | U 38.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 32% | 21% | +139 |
| Titans | 68% | 79% | -166 |
74% of spread tickets and 57% of spread money were on the Titans, so the Titans drew more tickets than money and the average Texans bet was larger.
The over held 54% of total tickets but only 40% of the money; 60% of total money was on the under with 46% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
68% of moneyline tickets and 79% of moneyline money were on the Titans, so the average Titans bet was larger than the average Texans bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Titans?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Titans) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 37 | 38.5 | +1.5 |
The Titans were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 37 24 hours before kickoff and closed 38.5, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Titans line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Titans -3) even with 57% of the spread money on the Titans. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (37 to 38.5) even though 60% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 40% of the money and 54% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.