Giants @ Saints
Giants
SaintsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Saints beat the Giants 24-6 at home. The market closed with Giants at +220 on the moneyline and the total at 39.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Giants betting trends · Saints betting trends · all NFL games
Giants vs Saints betting splits
Where was the money on Giants vs Saints?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Giants | 64% | 71% | +6.5 (-112) |
| Saints | 36% | 29% | -6.5 (-107) | |
| Total | Over | 61% | 64% | O 39.5 (-111) |
| Under | 39% | 36% | U 39.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Giants | 36% | 88% | +220 |
| Saints | 64% | 12% | -275 |
64% of spread tickets and 71% of spread money were on the Giants, so the average Giants bet was larger than the average Saints bet.
61% of total tickets and 64% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
The Saints held 64% of moneyline tickets but only 12% of the money; 88% of moneyline money was on the Giants with 36% of tickets, so the average Giants bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Giants vs Saints?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Saints) | -5.5 | -6.5 | -1 |
| Total | 39 | 39.5 | +0.5 |
The Saints were -5.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -6.5, a 1-point move toward the Saints.
The total was 39 24 hours before kickoff and closed 39.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Giants vs Saints line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Saints (Saints -5.5 to Saints -6.5) even though 71% of the spread money sits on the Giants; the Saints hold 29% of the money and 36% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (39 to 39.5), the side holding 64% of the total money and 61% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.