49ers @ Cardinals
49ers
CardinalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Cardinals 45-29 on the road. The market closed with 49ers at -769 on the moneyline and the total at 48. This was an NFL 2023 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Cardinals betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Cardinals betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Cardinals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 68% | 44% | -12.5 (-110) |
| Cardinals | 32% | 56% | +12.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 74% | 69% | O 48 (-110) |
| Under | 26% | 31% | U 48 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | 49ers | 94% | 90% | -769 |
| Cardinals | 6% | 10% | +535 |
The 49ers held 68% of spread tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of spread money was on the Cardinals with 32% of tickets, so the average Cardinals bet was larger.
74% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
94% of moneyline tickets and 90% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, so the 49ers drew more tickets than money and the average Cardinals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Cardinals?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cardinals) | +12 | +12.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 48 | -0.5 |
The 49ers were -12 seven hours before kickoff and closed -12.5, a 0.5-point move toward the 49ers.
The total was 48.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed 48, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Cardinals line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the 49ers (Cardinals +12 to Cardinals +12.5) even though 56% of the spread money sits on the Cardinals; the 49ers hold 44% of the money and 68% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (48.5 to 48) even though 69% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 31% of the money and 26% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.