Ravens @ Jaguars
Ravens
JaguarsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Ravens beat the Jaguars 23-7 on the road. The market closed with Ravens at -216 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 15 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Ravens betting trends · Jaguars betting trends · all NFL games
Ravens vs Jaguars betting splits
Where was the money on Ravens vs Jaguars?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ravens | 54% | 54% | -4 (-110) |
| Jaguars | 46% | 46% | +4 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 64% | 29% | O 42.5 (-110) |
| Under | 36% | 71% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Ravens | 67% | 61% | -216 |
| Jaguars | 33% | 39% | +180 |
54% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Ravens, with money and tickets in step.
The over held 64% of total tickets but only 29% of the money; 71% of total money was on the under with 36% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
67% of moneyline tickets and 61% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Jaguars bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Ravens vs Jaguars?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jaguars) | +3.5 | +4 | +0.5 |
| Total | 41.5 | 42.5 | +1 |
The Ravens were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -4, a 0.5-point move toward the Ravens.
The total was 41.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Ravens vs Jaguars line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Ravens (Jaguars +3.5 to Jaguars +4), the side holding 54% of the spread money and 54% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the over (41.5 to 42.5) even though 71% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 29% of the money and 64% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.