Saints @ Rams
Saints
RamsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Rams beat the Saints 30-22 at home. The market closed with Saints at +180 on the moneyline and the total at 45.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Saints betting trends · Rams betting trends · all NFL games
Saints vs Rams betting splits
Where was the money on Saints vs Rams?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints | 26% | 25% | +4.5 (-110) |
| Rams | 74% | 75% | -4.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 67% | O 45.5 (-108) |
| Under | 21% | 33% | U 45.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Saints | 29% | 16% | +180 |
| Rams | 71% | 84% | -217 |
74% of spread tickets and 75% of spread money were on the Rams, so the average Rams bet was larger than the average Saints bet.
79% of total tickets and 67% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
71% of moneyline tickets and 84% of moneyline money were on the Rams, so the average Rams bet was larger than the average Saints bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Saints vs Rams?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Rams) | -4 | -4.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 46 | 45.5 | -0.5 |
The Rams were -4 24 hours before kickoff and closed -4.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Rams.
The total was 46 24 hours before kickoff and closed 45.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Saints vs Rams line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Rams (Rams -4 to Rams -4.5), the side holding 75% of the spread money and 74% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (46 to 45.5) even though 67% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 33% of the money and 21% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.