Bengals @ Steelers
Bengals
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Bengals 34-11 at home. The market closed with Bengals at -137 on the moneyline and the total at 38.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bengals betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Bengals vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Bengals vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bengals | 45% | 31% | -3 (-105) |
| Steelers | 55% | 69% | +3 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 40% | 26% | O 38.5 (-110) |
| Under | 60% | 74% | U 38.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Bengals | 44% | 45% | -137 |
| Steelers | 56% | 55% | +116 |
55% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the average Steelers bet was larger than the average Bengals bet.
60% of total tickets and 74% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
56% of moneyline tickets and 55% of moneyline money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Bengals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bengals vs Steelers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 38 | 38.5 | +0.5 |
The Bengals were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 38 24 hours before kickoff and closed 38.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bengals vs Steelers line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Steelers +3) even with 69% of the spread money on the Steelers. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (38 to 38.5) even though 74% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 26% of the money and 40% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.