Lions @ Vikings
Lions
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Vikings 30-24 on the road. The market closed with Lions at -142 on the moneyline and the total at 48. This was an NFL 2023 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Lions betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
Lions vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on Lions vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions | 57% | 44% | -2.5 (-115) |
| Vikings | 43% | 56% | +2.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 77% | 80% | O 48 (-110) |
| Under | 23% | 20% | U 48 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Lions | 75% | 65% | -142 |
| Vikings | 25% | 35% | +120 |
The Lions held 57% of spread tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of spread money was on the Vikings with 43% of tickets, so the average Vikings bet was larger.
77% of total tickets and 80% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
75% of moneyline tickets and 65% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Lions vs Vikings?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | +3 | +2.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 48 | +0.5 |
The Lions were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Vikings.
The total was 47.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 48, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Lions vs Vikings line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Vikings (Vikings +3 to Vikings +2.5), the side holding 56% of the spread money and 43% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (47.5 to 48), the side holding 80% of the total money and 77% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.