Packers @ Panthers
Packers
PanthersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the Panthers 33-30 on the road. The market closed with Packers at -194 on the moneyline and the total at 39.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Panthers betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Panthers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 65% | 35% | -3.5 (-110) |
| Panthers | 35% | 65% | +3.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 61% | 81% | O 39.5 (-110) |
| Under | 39% | 19% | U 39.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 90% | 88% | -194 |
| Panthers | 10% | 12% | +165 |
The Packers held 65% of spread tickets but only 35% of the money; 65% of spread money was on the Panthers with 35% of tickets, so the average Panthers bet was larger.
61% of total tickets and 81% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
90% of moneyline tickets and 88% of moneyline money were on the Packers, so the Packers drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Panthers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Panthers) | +4 | +3.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 37.5 | 39.5 | +2 |
The Packers were -4 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Panthers.
The total was 37.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 39.5, a 2-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Panthers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Panthers (Panthers +4 to Panthers +3.5), the side holding 65% of the spread money and 35% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 2 points toward the over (37.5 to 39.5), the side holding 81% of the total money and 61% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.