Browns @ Texans
Browns
TexansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Browns beat the Texans 36-22 on the road. The market closed with Browns at -160 on the moneyline and the total at 39.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Texans betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Texans betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Texans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 59% | 56% | -3 (-110) |
| Texans | 41% | 44% | +3 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 49% | 59% | O 39.5 (-115) |
| Under | 51% | 41% | U 39.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 74% | 91% | -160 |
| Texans | 26% | 9% | +135 |
59% of spread tickets and 56% of spread money were on the Browns, so the Browns drew more tickets than money and the average Texans bet was larger.
The under held 51% of total tickets but only 41% of the money; 59% of total money was on the over with 49% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
74% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the Browns, so the average Browns bet was larger than the average Texans bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Texans?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Texans) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 40.5 | 39.5 | -1 |
The Browns were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 40.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 39.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Texans line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Texans +3) even with 56% of the spread money on the Browns. The total moved 1 point toward the under (40.5 to 39.5) even though 59% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 41% of the money and 51% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.