Ravens @ 49ers
Ravens
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Ravens beat the 49ers 33-19 on the road. The market closed with Ravens at +252 on the moneyline and the total at 47. This was an NFL 2023 week 16 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Ravens betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Ravens vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Ravens vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ravens | 55% | 62% | +6.5 (-110) |
| 49ers | 45% | 38% | -6.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 69% | O 47 (-110) |
| Under | 24% | 31% | U 47 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Ravens | 46% | 62% | +252 |
| 49ers | 54% | 38% | -312 |
55% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the average Ravens bet was larger than the average 49ers bet.
76% of total tickets and 69% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The 49ers held 54% of moneyline tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of moneyline money was on the Ravens with 46% of tickets, so the average Ravens bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Ravens vs 49ers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -6 | -6.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 47 | +0.5 |
The 49ers were -6 24 hours before kickoff and closed -6.5, a 0.5-point move toward the 49ers.
The total was 46.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 47, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Ravens vs 49ers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the 49ers (49ers -6 to 49ers -6.5) even though 62% of the spread money sits on the Ravens; the 49ers hold 38% of the money and 45% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (46.5 to 47), the side holding 69% of the total money and 76% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.