Jets @ Browns
Jets
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Browns beat the Jets 37-20 at home. The market closed with Jets at +267 on the moneyline and the total at 33.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
Jets vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on Jets vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets | 42% | 42% | +7 (-112) |
| Browns | 58% | 58% | -7 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 44% | 48% | O 33.5 (-110) |
| Under | 56% | 52% | U 33.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Jets | 7% | 22% | +267 |
| Browns | 93% | 78% | -335 |
58% of spread tickets and 58% of spread money were on the Browns, with money and tickets in step.
56% of total tickets and 52% of total money were on the under, so the under drew more tickets than money and the average over bet was larger.
93% of moneyline tickets and 78% of moneyline money were on the Browns, so the Browns drew more tickets than money and the average Jets bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jets vs Browns?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | -7.5 | -7 | +0.5 |
| Total | 34.5 | 33.5 | -1 |
The Browns were -7.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7, a 0.5-point move toward the Jets.
The total was 34.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 33.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jets vs Browns line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Jets (Browns -7.5 to Browns -7) even though 58% of the spread money sits on the Browns; the Jets hold 42% of the money and 42% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the under (34.5 to 33.5), the side holding 52% of the total money and 56% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.