Dolphins @ Ravens
Dolphins
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Ravens beat the Dolphins 56-19 at home. The market closed with Dolphins at +145 on the moneyline and the total at 47. This was an NFL 2023 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Dolphins betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Dolphins vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Dolphins vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins | 39% | 48% | +3 (-102) |
| Ravens | 61% | 52% | -3 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 58% | 43% | O 47 (-110) |
| Under | 42% | 57% | U 47 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | 27% | 50% | +145 |
| Ravens | 73% | 50% | -175 |
61% of spread tickets and 52% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Dolphins bet was larger.
The over held 58% of total tickets but only 43% of the money; 57% of total money was on the under with 42% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
Moneyline money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 27% Dolphins, 73% Ravens).
Line movement
What was the closing line for Dolphins vs Ravens?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | -3.5 | -3 | +0.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 47 | +0.5 |
The Ravens were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3, a 0.5-point move toward the Dolphins.
The total was 46.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 47, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Dolphins vs Ravens line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Dolphins (Ravens -3.5 to Ravens -3) even though 52% of the spread money sits on the Ravens; the Dolphins hold 48% of the money and 39% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (46.5 to 47) even though 57% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 43% of the money and 58% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.