Titans @ Texans
Titans
TexansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Titans 26-3 at home. The market closed with Titans at +196 on the moneyline and the total at 44. This was an NFL 2023 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Texans betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Texans betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Texans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 30% | 41% | +5.5 (-110) |
| Texans | 70% | 59% | -5.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 65% | 85% | O 44 (-110) |
| Under | 35% | 15% | U 44 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 16% | 65% | +196 |
| Texans | 84% | 35% | -242 |
70% of spread tickets and 59% of spread money were on the Texans, so the Texans drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.
65% of total tickets and 85% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
The Texans held 84% of moneyline tickets but only 35% of the money; 65% of moneyline money was on the Titans with 16% of tickets, so the average Titans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Texans?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Texans) | -4 | -5.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 44 | +0.5 |
The Texans were -4 24 hours before kickoff and closed -5.5, a 1.5-point move toward the Texans.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Texans line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Texans (Texans -4 to Texans -5.5), the side holding 59% of the spread money and 70% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (43.5 to 44), the side holding 85% of the total money and 65% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.