Panthers @ Jaguars
Panthers
JaguarsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Jaguars beat the Panthers 26-0 at home. The market closed with Panthers at +163 on the moneyline and the total at 37.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Jaguars betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Jaguars betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Jaguars?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 53% | 77% | +3.5 (-110) |
| Jaguars | 47% | 23% | -3.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 41% | 15% | O 37.5 (-115) |
| Under | 59% | 85% | U 37.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Panthers | 39% | 29% | +163 |
| Jaguars | 61% | 71% | -195 |
53% of spread tickets and 77% of spread money were on the Panthers, so the average Panthers bet was larger than the average Jaguars bet.
59% of total tickets and 85% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
61% of moneyline tickets and 71% of moneyline money were on the Jaguars, so the average Jaguars bet was larger than the average Panthers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Jaguars?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jaguars) | -4 | -3.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 36.5 | 37.5 | +1 |
The Jaguars were -4 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Panthers.
The total was 36.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 37.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Jaguars line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Panthers (Jaguars -4 to Jaguars -3.5), the side holding 77% of the spread money and 53% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the over (36.5 to 37.5) even though 85% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 15% of the money and 41% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.