Raiders @ Colts
Raiders
ColtsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Raiders 23-20 at home. The market closed with Raiders at +150 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Colts betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Colts betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Colts?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 51% | 59% | +3.5 (-110) |
| Colts | 49% | 41% | -3.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 69% | 38% | O 42.5 (-110) |
| Under | 31% | 62% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Raiders | 58% | 59% | +150 |
| Colts | 42% | 41% | -185 |
51% of spread tickets and 59% of spread money were on the Raiders, so the average Raiders bet was larger than the average Colts bet.
The over held 69% of total tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of total money was on the under with 31% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
58% of moneyline tickets and 59% of moneyline money were on the Raiders, so the average Raiders bet was larger than the average Colts bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Colts?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Colts) | -4 | -3.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 42.5 | 42.5 | 0 |
The Colts were -4 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Raiders.
The total was 42.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Colts line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Raiders (Colts -4 to Colts -3.5), the side holding 59% of the spread money and 51% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (42.5) even with 62% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.