Steelers @ Seahawks
Steelers
SeahawksArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Seahawks 30-23 on the road. The market closed with Steelers at +179 on the moneyline and the total at 40.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Seahawks betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Seahawks betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Seahawks?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 48% | 67% | +4.5 (-110) |
| Seahawks | 52% | 33% | -4.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 56% | 61% | O 40.5 (-112) |
| Under | 44% | 39% | U 40.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 35% | 50% | +179 |
| Seahawks | 65% | 50% | -214 |
The Seahawks held 52% of spread tickets but only 33% of the money; 67% of spread money was on the Steelers with 48% of tickets, so the average Steelers bet was larger.
56% of total tickets and 61% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
Moneyline money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 35% Steelers, 65% Seahawks).
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Seahawks?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Seahawks) | -4 | -4.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 41 | 40.5 | -0.5 |
The Seahawks were -4 24 hours before kickoff and closed -4.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Seahawks.
The total was 41 24 hours before kickoff and closed 40.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Seahawks line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Seahawks (Seahawks -4 to Seahawks -4.5) even though 67% of the spread money sits on the Steelers; the Seahawks hold 33% of the money and 52% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (41 to 40.5) even though 61% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 39% of the money and 44% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.