Chargers @ Broncos
Chargers
BroncosArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Broncos beat the Chargers 16-9 at home. The market closed with Chargers at +160 on the moneyline and the total at 39.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Broncos betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Broncos betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Broncos?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 51% | 63% | +3.5 (-110) |
| Broncos | 49% | 37% | -3.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 54% | 36% | O 39.5 (-110) |
| Under | 46% | 64% | U 39.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 47% | 64% | +160 |
| Broncos | 53% | 36% | -190 |
51% of spread tickets and 63% of spread money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Broncos bet.
The over held 54% of total tickets but only 36% of the money; 64% of total money was on the under with 46% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
The Broncos held 53% of moneyline tickets but only 36% of the money; 64% of moneyline money was on the Chargers with 47% of tickets, so the average Chargers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Broncos?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Broncos) | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 36.5 | 39.5 | +3 |
The Broncos were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 36.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 39.5, a 3-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Broncos line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Broncos -3.5) even with 63% of the spread money on the Chargers. The total moved 3 points toward the over (36.5 to 39.5) even though 64% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 36% of the money and 54% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.