Bengals @ Chiefs
Bengals
ChiefsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Bengals 25-17 at home. The market closed with Bengals at +287 on the moneyline and the total at 45.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bengals betting trends · Chiefs betting trends · all NFL games
Bengals vs Chiefs betting splits
Where was the money on Bengals vs Chiefs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bengals | 36% | 53% | +7 (-104) |
| Chiefs | 64% | 47% | -7 (-118) | |
| Total | Over | 49% | 32% | O 45.5 (-110) |
| Under | 51% | 68% | U 45.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Bengals | 10% | 46% | +287 |
| Chiefs | 90% | 54% | -362 |
The Chiefs held 64% of spread tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of spread money was on the Bengals with 36% of tickets, so the average Bengals bet was larger.
51% of total tickets and 68% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
90% of moneyline tickets and 54% of moneyline money were on the Chiefs, so the Chiefs drew more tickets than money and the average Bengals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bengals vs Chiefs?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chiefs) | -6.5 | -7 | -0.5 |
| Total | 44 | 45.5 | +1.5 |
The Chiefs were -6.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7, a 0.5-point move toward the Chiefs.
The total was 44 24 hours before kickoff and closed 45.5, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bengals vs Chiefs line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Chiefs (Chiefs -6.5 to Chiefs -7) even though 53% of the spread money sits on the Bengals; the Chiefs hold 47% of the money and 64% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (44 to 45.5) even though 68% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 32% of the money and 49% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.