Packers @ Vikings
Packers
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the Vikings 33-10 on the road. The market closed with Packers at -105 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 17 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 63% | 71% | +1.5 (-117) |
| Vikings | 37% | 29% | -1.5 (-103) | |
| Total | Over | 80% | 77% | O 42.5 (-107) |
| Under | 20% | 23% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 58% | 63% | -105 |
| Vikings | 42% | 37% | -112 |
63% of spread tickets and 71% of spread money were on the Packers, so the average Packers bet was larger than the average Vikings bet.
80% of total tickets and 77% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
58% of moneyline tickets and 63% of moneyline money were on the Packers, so the average Packers bet was larger than the average Vikings bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Vikings?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | -1 | -1.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 42.5 | -1 |
The Vikings were -1 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Vikings.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Vikings line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Vikings (Vikings -1 to Vikings -1.5) even though 71% of the spread money sits on the Packers; the Vikings hold 29% of the money and 37% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the under (43.5 to 42.5) even though 77% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 23% of the money and 20% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.