Browns @ Bengals
Browns
BengalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bengals beat the Browns 31-14 at home. The market closed with Browns at +280 on the moneyline and the total at 37.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Bengals betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Bengals betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Bengals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 42% | 33% | +7.5 (-108) |
| Bengals | 58% | 67% | -7.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 28% | 8% | O 37.5 (-106) |
| Under | 72% | 92% | U 37.5 (-116) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 50% | 86% | +280 |
| Bengals | 50% | 14% | -350 |
58% of spread tickets and 67% of spread money were on the Bengals, so the average Bengals bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
72% of total tickets and 92% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
50% of moneyline tickets and 86% of moneyline money were on the Browns, so the average Browns bet was larger than the average Bengals bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Bengals?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bengals) | -7 | -7.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 37 | 37.5 | +0.5 |
The Bengals were -7 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Bengals.
The total was 37 24 hours before kickoff and closed 37.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Bengals line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Bengals (Bengals -7 to Bengals -7.5), the side holding 67% of the spread money and 58% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (37 to 37.5) even though 92% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 8% of the money and 28% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.