Steelers @ Ravens
Steelers
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Ravens 17-10 on the road. The market closed with Steelers at -162 on the moneyline and the total at 34. This was an NFL 2023 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 34% | 13% | -3 (-105) |
| Ravens | 66% | 87% | +3 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 54% | 28% | O 34 (-110) |
| Under | 46% | 72% | U 34 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 69% | 62% | -162 |
| Ravens | 31% | 38% | +136 |
66% of spread tickets and 87% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the average Ravens bet was larger than the average Steelers bet.
The over held 54% of total tickets but only 28% of the money; 72% of total money was on the under with 46% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
69% of moneyline tickets and 62% of moneyline money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Ravens bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Ravens?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 34.5 | 34 | -0.5 |
The Steelers were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 34.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 34, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Ravens line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Ravens +3) even with 87% of the spread money on the Ravens. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (34.5 to 34), the side holding 72% of the total money and 46% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.