Rams @ 49ers
Rams
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Rams beat the 49ers 21-20 on the road. The market closed with Rams at +212 on the moneyline and the total at 40. This was an NFL 2023 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Rams betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Rams vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Rams vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rams | 46% | 32% | +5.5 (-108) |
| 49ers | 54% | 68% | -5.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 40% | 35% | O 40 (-112) |
| Under | 60% | 65% | U 40 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Rams | 49% | 21% | +212 |
| 49ers | 51% | 79% | -259 |
54% of spread tickets and 68% of spread money were on the 49ers, so the average 49ers bet was larger than the average Rams bet.
60% of total tickets and 65% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
51% of moneyline tickets and 79% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, so the average 49ers bet was larger than the average Rams bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Rams vs 49ers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -4 | -5.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 41 | 40 | -1 |
The 49ers were -4 24 hours before kickoff and closed -5.5, a 1.5-point move toward the 49ers.
The total was 41 24 hours before kickoff and closed 40, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Rams vs 49ers line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the 49ers (49ers -4 to 49ers -5.5), the side holding 68% of the spread money and 54% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (41 to 40), the side holding 65% of the total money and 60% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.