Texans @ Colts
Texans
ColtsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Colts 23-19 on the road. The market closed with Texans at -125 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Colts betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Colts betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Colts?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 71% | 74% | -1.5 (-106) |
| Colts | 29% | 26% | +1.5 (-114) | |
| Total | Over | 67% | 72% | O 47.5 (-110) |
| Under | 33% | 28% | U 47.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 74% | 71% | -125 |
| Colts | 26% | 29% | +106 |
71% of spread tickets and 74% of spread money were on the Texans, so the average Texans bet was larger than the average Colts bet.
67% of total tickets and 72% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
74% of moneyline tickets and 71% of moneyline money were on the Texans, so the Texans drew more tickets than money and the average Colts bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Colts?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Colts) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 47.5 | 47.5 | 0 |
The Texans were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 47.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 47.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Colts line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Colts +1.5) even with 74% of the spread money on the Texans. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (47.5) even with 72% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.