Jets @ Patriots
Jets
PatriotsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Jets beat the Patriots 17-3 on the road. The market closed with Jets at +119 on the moneyline and the total at 28.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · Patriots betting trends · all NFL games
Jets vs Patriots betting splits
Where was the money on Jets vs Patriots?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets | 26% | 31% | +2.5 (-110) |
| Patriots | 74% | 69% | -2.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 27% | 16% | O 28.5 (-110) |
| Under | 73% | 84% | U 28.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Jets | 20% | 26% | +119 |
| Patriots | 80% | 74% | -140 |
74% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money were on the Patriots, so the Patriots drew more tickets than money and the average Jets bet was larger.
73% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
80% of moneyline tickets and 74% of moneyline money were on the Patriots, so the Patriots drew more tickets than money and the average Jets bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jets vs Patriots?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Patriots) | -1.5 | -2.5 | -1 |
| Total | 30 | 28.5 | -1.5 |
The Patriots were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5, a 1-point move toward the Patriots.
The total was 30 24 hours before kickoff and closed 28.5, a 1.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jets vs Patriots line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Patriots (Patriots -1.5 to Patriots -2.5), the side holding 69% of the spread money and 74% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1.5 points toward the under (30 to 28.5), the side holding 84% of the total money and 73% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.