Eagles @ Giants
Eagles
GiantsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Giants beat the Eagles 27-10 at home. The market closed with Eagles at -242 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Eagles betting trends · Giants betting trends · all NFL games
Eagles vs Giants betting splits
Where was the money on Eagles vs Giants?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Eagles | 41% | 25% | -5 (-110) |
| Giants | 59% | 75% | +5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 76% | 80% | O 42.5 (-115) |
| Under | 24% | 20% | U 42.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Eagles | 82% | 37% | -242 |
| Giants | 18% | 63% | +199 |
59% of spread tickets and 75% of spread money were on the Giants, so the average Giants bet was larger than the average Eagles bet.
76% of total tickets and 80% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
The Eagles held 82% of moneyline tickets but only 37% of the money; 63% of moneyline money was on the Giants with 18% of tickets, so the average Giants bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Eagles vs Giants?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Giants) | +4.5 | +5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 42 | 42.5 | +0.5 |
The Eagles were -4.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -5, a 0.5-point move toward the Eagles.
The total was 42 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Eagles vs Giants line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Eagles (Giants +4.5 to Giants +5) even though 75% of the spread money sits on the Giants; the Eagles hold 25% of the money and 41% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (42 to 42.5), the side holding 80% of the total money and 76% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.