Vikings @ Lions
Vikings
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Vikings 30-20 at home. The market closed with Vikings at +169 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 18 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 47% | 71% | +3.5 (-108) |
| Lions | 53% | 29% | -3.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 79% | 83% | O 47.5 (-110) |
| Under | 21% | 17% | U 47.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 15% | 7% | +169 |
| Lions | 85% | 93% | -202 |
The Lions held 53% of spread tickets but only 29% of the money; 71% of spread money was on the Vikings with 47% of tickets, so the average Vikings bet was larger.
79% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
85% of moneyline tickets and 93% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Vikings bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Lions?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 46 | 47.5 | +1.5 |
The Lions were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 46 24 hours before kickoff and closed 47.5, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Lions line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Lions -3.5) even with 71% of the spread money on the Vikings. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (46 to 47.5), the side holding 83% of the total money and 79% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.