Browns @ Texans
Browns
TexansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Browns 45-14 at home. The market closed with Browns at -142 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Texans betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Texans betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Texans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 60% | 54% | -2 (-110) |
| Texans | 40% | 46% | +2 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 68% | 71% | O 44.5 (-115) |
| Under | 32% | 29% | U 44.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 62% | 70% | -142 |
| Texans | 38% | 30% | +120 |
60% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Browns, so the Browns drew more tickets than money and the average Texans bet was larger.
68% of total tickets and 71% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
62% of moneyline tickets and 70% of moneyline money were on the Browns, so the average Browns bet was larger than the average Texans bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Texans?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Texans) | +2 | +2 | 0 |
| Total | 44.5 | 44.5 | 0 |
The Browns were -2 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2: the spread has not moved.
The total was 44.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Texans line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Texans +2) even with 54% of the spread money on the Browns. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (44.5) even with 71% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.