Eagles @ Buccaneers
Eagles
BuccaneersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Buccaneers beat the Eagles 32-9 at home. The market closed with Eagles at -158 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2023 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Eagles betting trends · Buccaneers betting trends · all NFL games
Eagles vs Buccaneers betting splits
Where was the money on Eagles vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Eagles | 50% | 52% | -3 (-107) |
| Buccaneers | 50% | 48% | +3 (-114) | |
| Total | Over | 42% | 15% | O 43 (-110) |
| Under | 58% | 85% | U 43 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Eagles | 50% | 76% | -158 |
| Buccaneers | 50% | 24% | +134 |
50% of spread tickets and 52% of spread money were on the Eagles, so the average Eagles bet was larger than the average Buccaneers bet.
58% of total tickets and 85% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
50% of moneyline tickets and 76% of moneyline money were on the Eagles, so the average Eagles bet was larger than the average Buccaneers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Eagles vs Buccaneers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Buccaneers) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 43 | -0.5 |
The Eagles were -3 seven hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed 43, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Eagles vs Buccaneers line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked seven hours before kickoff (Buccaneers +3) even with 52% of the spread money on the Eagles. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (43.5 to 43), the side holding 85% of the total money and 58% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.