Rams @ Lions
Rams
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Rams 24-23 at home. The market closed with Rams at +138 on the moneyline and the total at 53. This was an NFL 2023 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Rams betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Rams vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Rams vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rams | 57% | 60% | +3.5 (-110) |
| Lions | 43% | 40% | -3.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 72% | 64% | O 53 (-110) |
| Under | 28% | 36% | U 53 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Rams | 44% | 53% | +138 |
| Lions | 56% | 47% | -164 |
57% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Rams, so the average Rams bet was larger than the average Lions bet.
72% of total tickets and 64% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Lions held 56% of moneyline tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of moneyline money was on the Rams with 44% of tickets, so the average Rams bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Rams vs Lions?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -3 | -3.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 51.5 | 53 | +1.5 |
The Lions were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Lions.
The total was 51.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 53, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Rams vs Lions line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Lions (Lions -3 to Lions -3.5) even though 60% of the spread money sits on the Rams; the Lions hold 40% of the money and 43% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (51.5 to 53), the side holding 64% of the total money and 72% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.