Packers @ Cowboys
Packers
CowboysArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the Cowboys 48-32 on the road. The market closed with Packers at +287 on the moneyline and the total at 52. This was an NFL 2023 week 1 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Cowboys betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Cowboys betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Cowboys?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 40% | 74% | +7 (-104) |
| Cowboys | 60% | 26% | -7 (-118) | |
| Total | Over | 68% | 77% | O 52 (-118) |
| Under | 32% | 23% | U 52 (-102) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 13% | 32% | +287 |
| Cowboys | 87% | 68% | -360 |
The Cowboys held 60% of spread tickets but only 26% of the money; 74% of spread money was on the Packers with 40% of tickets, so the average Packers bet was larger.
68% of total tickets and 77% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
87% of moneyline tickets and 68% of moneyline money were on the Cowboys, so the Cowboys drew more tickets than money and the average Packers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Cowboys?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cowboys) | -7 | -7 | 0 |
| Total | 50.5 | 52 | +1.5 |
The Cowboys were -7 seven hours before kickoff and closed -7: the spread has not moved.
The total was 50.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed 52, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Cowboys line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked seven hours before kickoff (Cowboys -7) even with 74% of the spread money on the Packers. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (50.5 to 52), the side holding 77% of the total money and 68% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.