Packers @ 49ers
Packers
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Packers 24-21 at home. The market closed with Packers at +375 on the moneyline and the total at 50.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 39% | 43% | +10.5 (-110) |
| 49ers | 61% | 57% | -10.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 77% | 77% | O 50.5 (-115) |
| Under | 23% | 23% | U 50.5 (-106) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 27% | 66% | +375 |
| 49ers | 73% | 34% | -500 |
61% of spread tickets and 57% of spread money were on the 49ers, so the 49ers drew more tickets than money and the average Packers bet was larger.
77% of total tickets and 77% of total money were on the over, with money and tickets in step.
The 49ers held 73% of moneyline tickets but only 34% of the money; 66% of moneyline money was on the Packers with 27% of tickets, so the average Packers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs 49ers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -9.5 | -10.5 | -1 |
| Total | 50.5 | 50.5 | 0 |
The 49ers were -9.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -10.5, a 1-point move toward the 49ers.
The total was 50.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 50.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs 49ers line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the 49ers (49ers -9.5 to 49ers -10.5), the side holding 57% of the spread money and 61% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (50.5) even with 77% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.