Texans @ Ravens
Texans
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Ravens beat the Texans 34-10 at home. The market closed with Texans at +375 on the moneyline and the total at 44. This was an NFL 2023 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 52% | 54% | +10 (-115) |
| Ravens | 48% | 46% | -10 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 60% | 34% | O 44 (-115) |
| Under | 40% | 66% | U 44 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 37% | 62% | +375 |
| Ravens | 63% | 38% | -490 |
52% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Texans, so the average Texans bet was larger than the average Ravens bet.
The over held 60% of total tickets but only 34% of the money; 66% of total money was on the under with 40% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
The Ravens held 63% of moneyline tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of moneyline money was on the Texans with 37% of tickets, so the average Texans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Ravens?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | -9.5 | -10 | -0.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 44 | +0.5 |
The Ravens were -9.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -10, a 0.5-point move toward the Ravens.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Ravens line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Ravens (Ravens -9.5 to Ravens -10) even though 54% of the spread money sits on the Texans; the Ravens hold 46% of the money and 48% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (43.5 to 44) even though 66% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 34% of the money and 60% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.