Buccaneers @ Lions
Buccaneers
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Buccaneers 31-23 at home. The market closed with Buccaneers at +220 on the moneyline and the total at 49.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 2 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Buccaneers betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Buccaneers vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Buccaneers vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Buccaneers | 48% | 42% | +6 (-110) |
| Lions | 52% | 58% | -6 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 65% | 86% | O 49.5 (-114) |
| Under | 35% | 14% | U 49.5 (-106) | |
| Moneyline | Buccaneers | 17% | 23% | +220 |
| Lions | 83% | 77% | -275 |
52% of spread tickets and 58% of spread money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Buccaneers bet.
65% of total tickets and 86% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
83% of moneyline tickets and 77% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Buccaneers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Buccaneers vs Lions?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -6 | -6 | 0 |
| Total | 49.5 | 49.5 | 0 |
The Lions were -6 24 hours before kickoff and closed -6: the spread has not moved.
The total was 49.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 49.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Buccaneers vs Lions line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Lions -6) even with 58% of the spread money on the Lions. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (49.5) even with 86% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.